Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 1.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 30.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (23.26%) and 0-3 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (19.82%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 1-0 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.