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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
VEB Arena

CSKA
5 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Chalov (45+4' pen.), Vlasic (50', 58'), Sigurdsson (86'), Oblyakov (87')
Kuchayev (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dordevic (78')
Grigalava (28'), Dordevic (31'), Bauer (90')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawArsenal Tula
51.78%25.68%22.55%
Both teams to score 47.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6%55.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4%76.6%
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56%21.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54%54.46%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17%39.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5%76.5%
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 51.77%
    Arsenal Tula 22.55%
    Draw 25.67%
CSKA MoscowDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22.55%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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