Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.