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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Mar 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Dynamo Stadium
LM

Ufa
0 - 1
Lokomotiv


Jokic (17'), Pliev (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krychowiak (80')
Lisakovich (53'), Smolov (63'), Eder (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Ufa and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
FC UfaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
26.96%28.67%44.37%
Both teams to score 43.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.34%62.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.78%82.22%
FC Ufa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12%39.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46%76.54%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88%
Score Analysis
    FC Ufa 26.96%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 44.37%
    Draw 28.66%
FC UfaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.75%
3-1 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 14.23%
0-2 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-3 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.2%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 44.37%

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