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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 at 4pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
DM

Zenit
3 - 1
Dynamo Moscow

Dzyuba (14', 34' pen.), Azmoun (84')
Ozdoyev (55'), Chistyakov (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Komlichenko (56' pen.)
Parshivlyuk (34'), Komlichenko (81')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Dynamo Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawDynamo Moscow
60.83%20.78%18.4%
Both teams to score 56.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72%40.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35%62.65%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19%12.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86%39.14%
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 60.83%
    Dynamo Moscow 18.4%
    Draw 20.78%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawDynamo Moscow
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.58%
1-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 6.81%
3-0 @ 6.56%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 3.5%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 60.83%
1-1 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-1 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 18.4%

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