Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.