Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.