Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.