Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.