SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
27.62% ( -0.2) | 29.28% ( 0.05) | 43.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.02% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.7% ( -0.24) | 64.29% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.6% ( -0.17) | 83.39% ( 0.17) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.3) | 40.24% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( -0.28) | 76.87% ( 0.27) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.03) | 29.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.04) | 65.74% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 14.5% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 43.09% |
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