SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
23.1% ( -2.45) | 23.99% ( -0.27) | 52.9% ( 2.71) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -1.09) | 48.28% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -1) | 70.43% ( 0.99) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -2.7) | 35.32% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -2.92) | 72.08% ( 2.91) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( 0.63) | 18.2% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( 1.08) | 49.21% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.98% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.77)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 52.9% |
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