SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
31.34% ( 0.05) | 25.24% ( 0.01) | 43.42% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.01) | 47.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.01) | 70.09% ( 0.01) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.02) | 28.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.03) | 64.57% ( -0.03) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.03) | 22.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( -0.05) | 55.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.42% |
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