Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
