Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.