Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 52.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.