SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 41.86% | 28.22% | 29.92% |
| Both teams to score 45.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.97% | 60.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.74% | 80.26% |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.99% | 64.01% |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.96% Total : 29.92% |
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