Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.