Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.