Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tambov would win this match.