Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.