Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 41%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.