Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
