Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
18.37% | 23.59% | 58.04% |
Both teams to score 47.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% | 52.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% | 73.96% |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.5% | 42.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% | 78.87% |
CSKA Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% | 17.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% | 48.47% |
Score Analysis |
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.37% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 13.04% 0-2 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-4 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.46% Total : 58.03% |
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