SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Ufa |
| 36.75% | 29.18% | 34.07% |
| Both teams to score 44.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.53% | 62.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.92% | 82.08% |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% | 32.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.94% | 69.06% |
| FC Ufa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% | 34.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.98% | 71.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Ufa |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.07% |
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