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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 16, 2021 at 12pm UK
Dynamo Stadium

Ufa
2 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Ivanov (7'), Belyaev (43' og.)
Sysuyev (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kangwa (33')
Grigalava (53')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Ufa and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ufa would win this match.

Result
FC UfaDrawArsenal Tula
40.9%28.39%30.71%
Both teams to score 45.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.61%60.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47%80.53%
FC Ufa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1%64.89%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38%35.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62%72.38%
Score Analysis
    FC Ufa 40.89%
    Arsenal Tula 30.71%
    Draw 28.38%
FC UfaDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 30.71%

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