Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.