Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.21%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
