Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
