Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
