Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.