Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
