Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.