Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Lokomotiv

Larsson (53'), Sobolev (81')
Umyarov (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cerqueira (10')
Barinov (7'), Rybus (41'), Krychowiak (44'), Corluka (69'), Rybchinsky (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
40.39%	26.39%	33.22%

Both teams to score 52.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.78%

52.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08%

73.92%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56%

25.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74%

60.26%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.68%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 40.38%

Lokomotiv Moscow 33.22%

Draw 26.39%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.38%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.22%