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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2020 at 6pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
2 - 0
Akhmat Grozny

Larsson (52' pen.), Ponce (69')
Kral (40'), Zobnin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Berisha (2'), Shvets (26'), Kharin (38'), Silva (40'), Semenov (50'), Nenakhov (68'), Bogosavac (72'), Roshi (90+5')
Nenakhov (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
48.71%25.27%26.02%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99%51.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.88%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04%20.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29%53.71%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72%34.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02%70.98%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 48.71%
    Akhmat Grozny 26.02%
    Draw 25.27%
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.02%


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