Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.