Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.