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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 30
Jul 22, 2020 at 5pm UK
Kazan Arena

Rubin Kazan
1 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Ignatyev (45' pen.)
Samoshnikov (3'), Starfelt (38'), Konovalov (63'), Uremovic (70'), Kvaratskhelia (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bakaev (40' pen.), Larsson (71' pen.)
Ponce (33'), Rasskazov (73'), Dzhikiya (82'), Sobolev (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rubin Kazan and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Rubin KazanDrawSpartak Moscow
34.12%27.37%38.51%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44%55.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91%77.08%
Rubin Kazan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06%30.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76%67.24%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76%28.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05%63.95%
Score Analysis
    Rubin Kazan 34.12%
    Spartak Moscow 38.5%
    Draw 27.37%
Rubin KazanDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.5%


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