Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.