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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 30
Jul 22, 2020 at 5pm UK
Central Stadium
LM

Ural
0 - 1
Lokomotiv


Magomadov (14'), Boumal (19'), Augustyniak (31'), El Kabir (32'), Emelyanov (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miranchuk (45+1')
Rybchinsky (51'), Miranchuk (79'), Zhivoglyadov (87'), Farfan (90')
Miranchuk (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
30.98%25.21%43.81%
Both teams to score 55.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07%47.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.1%
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12%64.87%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14%21.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9%55.1%
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 30.98%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 43.81%
    Draw 25.21%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 7.85%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.81%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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