SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Dynamo Makhachkala win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
39.91% ( -0.07) | 27.49% | 32.6% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.33% ( 0.02) | 56.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.37% ( 0.02) | 77.63% ( -0.02) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.03) | 27.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.04) | 63.34% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.06) | 32.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.07) | 68.79% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.6% |
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