SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
44.04% ( 0.14) | 27.83% ( 0.13) | 28.13% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.62% ( -0.57) | 59.38% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( -0.44) | 79.77% ( 0.44) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.19) | 26.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( -0.25) | 62.11% ( 0.25) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( -0.53) | 37.08% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% ( -0.53) | 73.87% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.13% |
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