SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.6%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
13.62% ( -0.13) | 20.6% ( 0.06) | 65.77% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.55) | 48.48% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.5) | 70.61% ( 0.5) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.54) | 46.58% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.83% ( -0.41) | 82.17% ( 0.42) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( -0.15) | 13.92% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( -0.3) | 41.36% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.62% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 12.6% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 8.29% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 65.76% |
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