SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
60.41% ( 0.09) | 20.84% ( -0.04) | 18.75% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.99% ( 0.08) | 40.01% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.62% ( 0.09) | 62.37% ( -0.1) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 0.05) | 12.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.79% ( 0.11) | 39.21% ( -0.11) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.01) | 34.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% ( -0.01) | 71.63% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.41% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.75% |
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