SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 68.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
68.67% ( 0.77) | 18.49% ( -0.61) | 12.84% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( 2.34) | 41% ( -2.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( 2.35) | 63.4% ( -2.35) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.11% ( 0.87) | 10.89% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.97% ( 1.89) | 35.03% ( -1.89) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.89% ( 1.22) | 43.1% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% ( 1.01) | 79.38% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.75)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.17)Other @ 4.04% Total : 68.66% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.49% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.84% |
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