SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
35.43% ( 0.27) | 25.53% ( -0.04) | 39.04% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.81% ( 0.22) | 48.19% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.21) | 70.35% ( -0.2) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 0.27) | 26.33% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( 0.36) | 61.46% ( -0.35) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.02) | 24.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0.03) | 58.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.43% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.04% |
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