SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
60.47% ( -0.88) | 21.77% ( 0.28) | 17.76% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.21) | 45.77% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -0.2) | 68.08% ( 0.2) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( -0.35) | 14.68% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.15% ( -0.67) | 42.85% ( 0.66) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( 0.59) | 39.4% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% ( 0.55) | 76.1% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.76% |
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