SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
46.54% ( -1.61) | 24.38% ( 0.27) | 29.08% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.36) | 45.2% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.35) | 67.54% ( 0.35) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.8) | 19.54% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( -1.33) | 51.44% ( 1.33) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 0.77) | 28.91% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( 0.95) | 64.78% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.08% |
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