Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
