Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
