Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a CSKA Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
