Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.