Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.