Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.